Maximal Margin Classifiers

Maximal margin classifiers are a way of thinking about supervised learning entirely in terms of the decision boundary between two classes, and defining that boundary in a way that maximizes the distance from any given point to the boundary.  It's a neat way to think about statistical learning and a prerequisite for understanding support vector machines, which we'll cover next week--stay tuned!

DBSCAN

DBSCAN is a density-based clustering algorithm for doing unsupervised learning.  It's pretty nifty: with just two parameters, you can specify "dense" regions in your data, and grow those regions out organically to find clusters.  In particular, it can fit irregularly-shaped clusters, and it can also identify outlier points that don't belong to any of the clusters. Pretty cool!

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Kaggle's "State of Data Science" Survey

Want to know what's going on in data science these days?  There's no better way than to analyze a survey with over 16,000 responses that recently released by Kaggle.  Kaggle asked practicing and aspiring data scientists about themselves, their tools, how they find jobs, what they find challenging about their jobs, and many other questions.  Then Kaggle released an interactive summary of the data, as well as the anonymized dataset itself, to help data scientists understand the trends in the data.  In this episode, we'll go through some of the survey toplines that we found most interesting and counterintuitive.

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Machine Learning Technical Debt

This week, we've got a fun paper by our friends at Google about the hidden costs of maintaining machine learning workflows.  If you've worked in software before, you're probably familiar with the idea of technical debt, which are inefficiencies that crop up in the code when you're trying to go fast.  You take shortcuts, hard-code variable values, skimp on the documentation, and generally write not-that-great code in order to get something done quickly, and then end up paying for it later on.  This is technical debt, and it's particularly easy to accrue with machine learning workflows.  That's the premise of this episode's paper.

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Improving Upon a First-Draft Data Science Analysis

There are a lot of good resources out there for getting started with data science and machine learning, where you can walk through starting with a dataset and ending up with a model and set of predictions.  Think something like the homework for your favorite machine learning class, or your most recent online machine learning competition.  However, if you've ever tried to maintain a machine learning workflow (as opposed to building it from scratch), you know that taking a simple modeling script and turning it into clean, well-structured and maintainable software is way harder than most people give it credit for.  That said, if you're a professional data scientist (or want to be one), this is one of the most important skills you can develop.

In this episode, we'll walk through a workshop Katie is giving at the Open Data Science Conference in San Francisco in November 2017, which covers building a machine learning workflow that's more maintainable than a simple script.  If you'll be at ODSC, come say hi, and if you're not, here's a sneak preview!

Survey Raking

It's quite common for survey respondents not to be representative of the larger population from which they are drawn.  But if you're a researcher, you need to study the larger population using data from your survey respondents, so what should you do?  Reweighting the survey data, so that things like demographic distributions look similar between the survey and general populations, is a standard technique and in this episode we'll talk about survey raking, a way to calculate survey weights when there are several distributions of interest that need to be matched.

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Re-release: Kalman Runners

In honor of the Chicago marathon this weekend (and due in large part to Katie recovering from running in it...) we have a re-release of an episode about Kalman filters, which is part algorithm part elaborate metaphor for figuring out, if you're running a race but don't have a watch, how fast you're going.

Katie's Chicago race report:

  • miles 1-13: light ankle pain, lovely cool weather, the most fun imaginable.
  • miles 13-17: no more ankle pain but quads start getting tight, it's a little more effort
  • miles 17-20: oof, really tight legs but still plenty of gas in then tank.
  • miles 20-23: it's warmer out now, legs hurt a lot but running through Pilsen and Chinatown is too fun to notice
  • mile 24: ugh cramp everything hurts
  • miles 25-26.2: awesome crowd support, really tired and loving every second

Final time: 3:54:35

Neural Net Dropout

Neural networks are complex models with many parameters and can be prone to overfitting.  There's a surprisingly simple way to guard against this: randomly destroy connections between hidden units, also known as dropout.  It seems counterintuitive that undermining the structural integrity of the neural net makes it robust against overfitting, but in the world of neural nets, weirdness is just how things go sometimes.

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Disciplined Data Science

As data science matures as a field, it's becoming clearer what attributes a data science team needs to have to elevate their work to the next level.  Most of our episodes are about the cool work being done by other people, but this one summarizes some thinking Katie's been doing herself around how to guide data science teams toward more mature, effective practices.  We'll go through five key characteristics of great data science teams, which we collectively refer to as "disciplined data science," and why they matter.

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Hurricane Forecasting

It's been a busy hurricane season in the Southeastern United States, with millions of people making life-or-death decisions based on the forecasts around where the hurricanes will hit and with what intensity.  In this episode we'll deconstruct those models, talking about the different types of models, the theory behind them, and how they've evolved through the years.  

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Spy Planes

There are law enforcement surveillance aircraft circling over the United States every day, and in this episode, we'll talk about how some folks at BuzzFeed used public data and machine learning to find them.  The fun thing here, in our opinion, is the blend of intrigue (spy planes!) with tech journalism and a heavy dash of publicly available and reproducible analysis code so that you (yes, you!) can see exactly how BuzzFeed identifies the surveillance planes.

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Data Lineage

Software engineers are familiar with the idea of versioning code, so you can go back later and revive a past state of the system.  For data scientists who might want to reconstruct past models, though, it's not just about keeping the modeling code.  It's also about saving a version of the data that made the model.  There are a lot of other benefits to keeping track of datasets, so in this episode we'll talk about data lineage or data provenance.

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Adversarial Examples for Machine Learning

Even as we rely more and more on machine learning algorithms to help with everyday decision-making, we're learning more and more about how they're frighteningly easy to fool sometimes.  Today we have a roundup of a few successful efforts to create robust adversarial examples, including what it means for an adversarial example to be robust and what this might mean for machine learning in the future.

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Jupyter Notebooks: A Data Scientist's Best Friend

This week's episode is just in time for JupyterCon in NYC, August 22-25...

Jupyter notebooks are probably familiar to a lot of data nerds out there as a great open-source tool for exploring data, doing quick visualizations, and packaging code snippets with explanations for sharing your work with others.  If you're not a data person, or you are but you haven't tried out Jupyter notebooks yet, here's your nudge to go give them a try.  In this episode we'll go back to the old days, before notebooks, and talk about all the ways that data scientists like to work that wasn't particularly well-suited to the command line + text editor setup, and talk about how notebooks have evolved over their lifetime to become even more powerful and well-suited to the data scientist's workflow.

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Curing Cancer with Machine Learning is Super Hard

Today, a dispatch on what can go wrong when machine learning hype outpaces reality: a high-profile partnership between IBM Watson and MD Anderson Cancer Center has recently hit the rocks as it turns out to be tougher than expected to cure cancer with artificial intelligence.  There are enough conflicting accounts in the media to make it tough to say exactly went wrong, but it's a good chance to remind ourselves that even in a post-AI world, hard problems remain hard.  

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Kullback Leibler Divergence

Kullback Leibler divergence, or KL divergence, is a measure of information loss when you try to approximate one distribution with another distribution.  It comes to us originally from information theory, but today underpins other, more machine-learning-focused algorithms like t-SNE.  And boy oh boy can it be tough to explain.  But we're trying our hardest in this episode!

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Sabermetrics

It's moneyball time!  SABR (the Society for American Baseball Research) is the world's largest organization of statistics-minded baseball enthusiasts, who are constantly applying the craft of scientific analysis to trying to figure out who are the best baseball teams and players.  It can be hard to objectively measure sports greatness, but baseball has a data-rich history and plenty of nerdy fans interested in analyzing that data.  In this episode we'll dissect a few of the metrics from standard baseball and compare them to related metrics from Sabermetrics, so you can nerd out more effectively at your next baseball game.

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